I had wanted for some time to build a relatively complete model for binary markets. At first glance, these markets look simple. Take Polymarket’s 15-minute BTC Up/Down market as an example: each...
On the very first day GPT 5.6 launched, I wanted to try it out. I could have written a small utility, run a few prompts, and called that an evaluation. But that felt a little pointless. To find out wh...
Strategy Background Earlier this year, stories about someone making a fortune overnight on Polymarket were circulating widely across communities. Curious about the actual trading framework behind it, ...